BTI Blog | Transformationsindex BTI 2016

The main street in Cojutepeque, El Salvador. Photo by LI1324 via commons.wikimedia.org, public domain (CC0)

Back to El Salvador: The Fallout of “Shithole Countries” Diplomacy

December 28, 2018 / Sophia Boddenberg

El Salvador is among the nations U.S. President Donald Trump has dubbed “shithole countries” and whose immigrants he seeks to deport as quickly as possible. But what does that mean for the Central American country? Even during his election campaign, U.S. President Donald Trump described immigration from El Salvador and other Central American countries as […]

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Prime Minister Prayut Chan-ocha walks into a meeting with Marine Corps Gen. Joe Dunford. Photo by Navy Petty Officer 1st Class Dominique A. Pineiro via flickr.com, CC BY 2.0

Military Set to Retain Influence despite Thai Vote

December 21, 2018 / Pavin Chachavalpongpun

This time round, Thailand’s elections, slated for February 2019, look like they will actually materialize. But can they rescue its troubled democracy? More than four years after the May 2014 coup, the Thai junta has set a new date for elections: February 2019. Although the military government has frequently postponed elections in the past, it […]

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Peace on Earth? The quality of conflict management is in decline

December 16, 2018 / Hauke Hartmann

No peaceful Christmas again this year. On the contrary: Not only are wars, civil wars and massive political violence widespread worldwide, but – as explained in the previous blog post – the level of polarization and the intensity of conflicts have, on global average, even increased in recent years. Which factors are driving the marked […]

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Libya’s Prime Minister Fayez al-Serraj. Photo by Air Force Tech. Sgt. Brigitte N. Brantley. via commons.wikimedia.org, CC BY 2.0

Elections in Libya: The Difficult Way Ahead

December 13, 2018 / Amal S. Obeidi

The Libya conference in Palermo has ended in a renewed push for elections in the crisis-ridden country. But is Libya really in a fit state to deliver on this commitment? Since the fall of Gaddafi’s regime in 2011, Libya has had three distinct electoral experiences, which have in turn given birth to three political institutions: […]

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Banksy Peace Dove Photographer Pawel Ryszawa

Peace on Earth? Conflict intensity on the rise worldwide

December 10, 2018 / Hauke Hartmann

Every year it is an unfulfilled Christmas promise, not only for the approximately 30% of the world’s population of Christian faith: that conflicts may rest and peace may return. However, not only do wars, civil wars and political violence continue to be widespread throughout the world. Measured by long-term trends, the number of war and […]

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Zeran Power Station, Poland. Photo by Adrian Grycuk via commons.wikimedia.org, CC BY-SA 3.0 pl

Poland’s Difficult Balancing Act

December 03, 2018 / Piotr Buras

Paris Climate Agreement stakeholders are convening in Poland to set the speed of the world’s response to climate change. But can Poland balance its appetite for coal with the international push for decarbonization? From December 03 to 14, Poland will host the 24th Conference of the Parties (COP24), the key meeting of the stakeholders of […]

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Handshake in building hall. Source: F1online.

Bad Prospects for the G20 Summit: Credibility in International Cooperation Declines

November 30, 2018 / Hauke Hartmann

When the heads of state and government meet for the G20 summit on 30 November 2018, it will not only be the isolationism of Western governments such as the USA or Great Britain that will burden international cooperation. The willingness to cooperate is also declining among the governments of many developing countries. In seven of […]

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Row of G-20 countries' flags — © Maksym Yemelyanov - stock.adobe.com

The G20 is Turning 20: Time to Take Stock of Multilateralism

November 28, 2018 / Christina Tillmann

On 30 November, heads of state and government will meet in Buenos Aires for this year’s G20 summit to discuss common solutions for global challenges. Yet things currently do not bode well for international cooperation. From the Paris climate agreements to the UN migration pact, global cooperation is increasingly being eroded by nations acting unilaterally. […]

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Demolition of the Lenin-Monument in Jurmala City. Photo by Boriss Kolesnikovs/The Latvian Institute

100 Years of Solitude: Latvia Celebrates its Independence

November 22, 2018 / Una Bergmane

The Baltic States are still struggling to be seen on the international stage. One hundred years after declaring independence, fears of getting swallowed up by Russia remain strong in Latvia and spurs on the country in building up reliable ties. In a moment of self-awareness back in 1919, Kaarel Robert Pusta, head of the Estonian […]

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Jair Bolsonaro. Photo by Fabio Rodrigues Pozzebom, Agência Brasil Fotografias via flickr.com, CC BY 2.0

Election in Brazil: Testing a Fragile Democracy

October 01, 2018 / Eduardo Mello

Economic malaise is pushing Brazilians towards outsider parties in the run-up to the October vote. But with no candidate promising to undertake much-needed economic reform, the country’s woes look set to continue. Brazil has rarely had it so bad. As the 2000s boom in commodity prices waned, the country’s gross domestic product plummeted. Unemployment reached […]

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Back to El Salvador: The Fallout of “Shithole Countries” Diplomacy

Military Set to Retain Influence despite Thai Vote

Peace on Earth? The quality of conflict management is in decline

Elections in Libya: The Difficult Way Ahead

Peace on Earth? Conflict intensity on the rise worldwide

Poland’s Difficult Balancing Act

Bad Prospects for the G20 Summit: Credibility in International Cooperation Declines

The G20 is Turning 20: Time to Take Stock of Multilateralism

100 Years of Solitude: Latvia Celebrates its Independence

Election in Brazil: Testing a Fragile Democracy

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