BTI Blog | Transformationsindex BTI 2016

Handshake in building hall. Source: F1online.

Bad Prospects for the G20 Summit: Credibility in International Cooperation Declines

November 30, 2018 / Hauke Hartmann

When the heads of state and government meet for the G20 summit on 30 November 2018, it will not only be the isolationism of Western governments such as the USA or Great Britain that will burden international cooperation. The willingness to cooperate is also declining among the governments of many developing countries. In seven of […]

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Row of G-20 countries' flags — © Maksym Yemelyanov - stock.adobe.com

The G20 is Turning 20: Time to Take Stock of Multilateralism

November 28, 2018 / Christina Tillmann

On 30 November, heads of state and government will meet in Buenos Aires for this year’s G20 summit to discuss common solutions for global challenges. Yet things currently do not bode well for international cooperation. From the Paris climate agreements to the UN migration pact, global cooperation is increasingly being eroded by nations acting unilaterally. […]

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Demolition of the Lenin-Monument in Jurmala City. Photo by Boriss Kolesnikovs/The Latvian Institute

100 Years of Solitude: Latvia Celebrates its Independence

November 22, 2018 / Una Bergmane

The Baltic States are still struggling to be seen on the international stage. One hundred years after declaring independence, fears of getting swallowed up by Russia remain strong in Latvia and spurs on the country in building up reliable ties. In a moment of self-awareness back in 1919, Kaarel Robert Pusta, head of the Estonian […]

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Jair Bolsonaro. Photo by Fabio Rodrigues Pozzebom, Agência Brasil Fotografias via flickr.com, CC BY 2.0

Election in Brazil: Testing a Fragile Democracy

October 01, 2018 / Eduardo Mello

Economic malaise is pushing Brazilians towards outsider parties in the run-up to the October vote. But with no candidate promising to undertake much-needed economic reform, the country’s woes look set to continue. Brazil has rarely had it so bad. As the 2000s boom in commodity prices waned, the country’s gross domestic product plummeted. Unemployment reached […]

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A soldier receiving roses from locals in the Thai 2006 coup. Photo: David Yttervik Seetiangtham via flickr.com, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/.

Militaries Hold the Key to Power in a Dictator’s Endgame

September 14, 2018 / Aurel Croissant

Which factors shape the armed forces’ decision to boost or bust the rule of an incumbent autocrat in times of political turmoil? Political scientists at Heidelberg University analyzed non-violent mass mobilizations since 1946 and developed a game theory model that aims to explain the different military responses. Autocrats live dangerously. Although their average tenure is […]

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Indonesia as a Pillar in the EU’s “Pivot to Asia”

August 31, 2018 / Cora Jungbluth

The EU’s external relations are in turmoil. In the West, the United States has shaken the once reliable and stable transatlantic partnership to the ground. In the East, China is rising as a strong and self-confident power with political and economic interests that are not always in line with those of the EU. In these […]

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Pakistan General Elections 2018. Photo: Commonwealth Secretariat via Flickr, CC BY NC.

Elections in Pakistan: Better Legal Framework but Restrictions on Press Freedom and Competition

August 21, 2018 / Michael Gahler

On 25 July, the Movement for Justice (Tehreek-e Insaf/PTI) led by former cricket star Imran Khan won the general elections in Pakistan. It prevailed against the governing Pakistani Muslim League (PML-N) and the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP). German MEP Michael Gahler headed the EU Election Observation Mission to Pakistan for the third time in a […]

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Hun Sen at the WEF in 2010. Photo by the Word Economic Forum (S. Thanachaiary) via commons.wikimedia.org, CC BY-SA 2.0

Cambodian Elections: Hun Sen’s unbroken dominance

July 27, 2018 / Markus Karbaum

Cambodia’s vote in July is designed to confirm strongman Hun Sen. After quashing the opposition, he is geared up to extend his 33-year stint at the top. The result of Cambodia’s parliamentary elections on 29 July is already fixed. After dissolving popular oppositional Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) in November 2017, Prime Minister Hun Sen […]

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The BRICS leaders, 2016. Photo by kremlin.ru via flickr.com, CC BY 4.0

Breaking BRICS: More Differences Than Similarities?

July 24, 2018 / Craig Willy

This month brings the tenth summit of the fast-growing BRICs nations – Brazil, Russia, India, and China and South Africa. But does the label still hold given the countries’ starkly different political and economic realities? Almost 17 years after Goldman Sachs coined the term “BRICs” for Brazil, Russia, India, and China, and later South Africa, […]

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World Cup 2018 Confirms: Democracies Better at Playing Football

July 23, 2018 / Sabine Donner

One of the many rituals of a football World Cup is to take comprehensive stock after the tournament. So it’s time to review our Democracy World Cup and analyze our predictions. Were we right in our thesis that there is a connection between a country’s democratic quality and the performance of its national football team? […]

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Bad Prospects for the G20 Summit: Credibility in International Cooperation Declines

The G20 is Turning 20: Time to Take Stock of Multilateralism

100 Years of Solitude: Latvia Celebrates its Independence

Election in Brazil: Testing a Fragile Democracy

Militaries Hold the Key to Power in a Dictator’s Endgame

Indonesia as a Pillar in the EU’s “Pivot to Asia”

Elections in Pakistan: Better Legal Framework but Restrictions on Press Freedom and Competition

Cambodian Elections: Hun Sen’s unbroken dominance

Breaking BRICS: More Differences Than Similarities?

World Cup 2018 Confirms: Democracies Better at Playing Football

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